Thursday, March 05, 2009

Prediction for Loksabha Election 2009 (Opinion Poll)

For live results visit-Live Loksabha Election 2009 Results

Slowly, Loksabha elections are coming very near; therefore, people want to know that who will form next government in India. Today, we have number of predictions and polls available in front of us which are telling us some trends of coming Loksabha Election results. All polls are predicting, fight between two main alliances UPA and NDA in India. UPA is presently in government with the help of Samajwadi Party, whereas NDA is in opposition. UPA works under the leadership of Congress while NDA works under the leadership of BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party). Both alliance want to make next government in India themselves or with the help of other small parties. There are total 543 seats in Loksabha and any alliance needs support of 272 Member Parliaments (MPs). Most of surveys and exit polls are predicting that Congress lead UPA is more near to form government than BJP lead NDA alliance, though, nobody is sure about final outcome of Loksabha elections. There are chances that UPA will win 230-240 seats where NDA can win 180-200 seats. UPA has recently become stronger by making post poll alliance with Trinamool Congress. Therefore, UPA looks more near of making a next government. However, Indian politics have always remained unpredictable which makes it more complex.
Below, people can find combined estimate of all these polls for forthcoming Loksabha election 2009.

For latest update visit-Final Predictions Loksabha Election 2009 (Exit Poll)


State Totalseats Congress BJP Others

AP 42 20 0 14 (TDP) 4 (TRS) 4 Oths
Assam 14 5 3 4 (AJP) 2 Oths
Bihar 37 0 9 13 JD(U) 3 LJP 10 RJD 2 OTH
Chhattisgarh 11 5 6 0
Delhi 7 5 2 0
Gujarat 26 6 20
Goa 2 1 1
Haryana 10 4 2 3 (INL) 1 Oth
HP 4 1 3
J&K 6 1 1 3 (NC) 1 (PDP)
Jharkhand 14 5 7 2 Oths
Karnataka 28 10 15 3 JD(S)
Kerala 20 12 0 8 (Left)
Rajasthan 25 17 8
MP 29 8 21
Maharashtra 48 15 10 13 (SS) 10 (NCP)
North-East 11 4 0 2 (NCP) 5 (Oths)
Orissa 21 8 6 7 (BJD)
Punjab 13 4 3 6 (Akali Dal)
Tamilnadu 39 4 0 12 (AIDMK) 6 (PMK) 15 (DMK) 2 (MDMK)
UP 80 6 15 26 (SP) 32 (BSP) 2 OTHs
Uttarakhand 5 2 3
UTs 6 3 0 3 Oths
West Bengal 42 8 0 24 (left) 10(TC)








Disclaimer: These predictions are clearly based on data and information gathered by author from his resources. Author is not currently member of any political party in India. Author also tries to provide information in unbiased manner not favouring or disapproving any political party. People are advised to vote freely without getting influenced by these predictions.

Read more about Loksabha Election visit-Read all posts related to Loksabha Election 2009

78 comments:

Anonymous said...

dude,
I suggest you re-analyze your results. I can give you a small example.

Congress will be hard-pressed to get 3 seats in Orissa.

Check this link for winning percentages in Orissa. Most seats, the BJD-BJP combine has at least a 10% vote difference. You can also check local body results for more recent data.

Anonymous said...

Dude
I am from Maharashtra and I am not agree with your predictions about Maharashtra, this time B.J.P Shivsena combine is going to sweep Maharashtra, both will win at least 33 seats out of 48 for sure ....

Anonymous said...

hey, your poll prediction is interesting. But I feel your figures are exaggerated for congress in some states like in AP Congress not going to cross 15 seats, in Karnataka getting around 7 seats is tough, like wise Delhi too. Its just my intelligent guessing, do you know? This is understanding of Indian politics, last 15yrs my predictions are quite close to the result.

Anonymous said...

Hi!
As per situation of M.P and chattisgarh congress is doing much better as compared with your predictions in M.P. only congress is winning over 12 seats.

suchy said...

hey
i am live in assam so i deserve abetter idea of election result.I guess congress can win hardly two seats. Because a regional party AUDF playing the great role. The traditional Votebank shift towards the AUDF.
BYE

Anonymous said...

My state wise proj. is as followds.
UP BJP+ 25, CONG 4, SP+ 25, BSP 26
MAHARASHTRA BJP+ 26, CONG+22
WB BJP 1, CONG+ 17, LEFT 24
AP BJP 4,CONG 16, TDP+ 19, OTHERS 3
BIHAR BJP+ 26, CONG 1, RJD+ 13
TN BJP 0, CONG+ 12, AIADMK+ 27
MP BJP 25, CONG 4
KARNATAKA BJP 21, CONG 4, JDS 3
GUJARAT BJP 20, CONG 6
RAJASTHAN BJP 16, CONG 9
ORISSA BJP 3, CONG 12, BJD 6
KERALA BJP 0, CONG+ 12, LEFT 8
JHARKHAND BJP+ 6, CONG 3, OTHERS 5
ASSAM BJP+ 7, CONG 7
PUNJAB BJP+ 9, CONG 4
CHATTISGARH BJP 10, CONG 1
HARYANA BJP+ 5, CONG 4, OTHERS 1
DELHI BJP 5, CONG 2
J&K BJP 1, CONG+ 4, OTHERS 1
UTTRANCHAL BJP 4, CONG 1
HP BJP 4, CONG 0
GOA BJP 1, CONG 1
OTHERS BJP+ 5, CONG 9, OTHERS 3
TOTAL BJP+ 224, CONG+ 155, OTHERS 164

Naju said...

I am from kerala .. I think your prediction in kerala is going to be very close.. congress will get 12 to 15 seats ..

Anonymous said...

I am from Himachal Pardesh BJp will win all seat from Himachal

basu said...

hai... I am from karnataka..your prediction of 15 seats to bjp is wrong.. this time BJP is going to get 20+ seats, Cong 3+ & JDS 2 only..( only HDK & HDD)..

Anonymous said...

Hai.. this seems a very good pridiction..KARNATAKA BJP 21, CONG 4, JDS 3

Anonymous said...

As election get closer and campaign picks up, congress is losing heavily, and people getting doubts about PRP able to form the govt. Only hardcore Chiru fans going along with him, which would be not more than 10 to 15 percentage. It wouldn't be a surprise if chiru like TN vijay gets around 15 percent (cutting more into congress than mahakutami) but far few seats. The poll arithmetic is really fun, if people really vote the way they have been doing last few decades, congress should not even get more than 5 to 8. TDP TRS left around 24 to 32 and PRP 1 to 5.

Anonymous said...

I am in TN, my prediction is

DMK + Congress = 24 or 25
ADMK + PMK + Communists = 15
BJP = 1 (kanyakumari)

Prashanth said...

hi
in karnataka JD(S)will gain 6 to 8 seats defnitely,congress will gain more than 10 seats if siddaramaih works full heartedly.bjp will loose 6 to 8 seats compare to last election because of bad governance of yediyurrappa .

Anonymous said...

hi,
i am from karnataka. As per my knowledge BJP will get 14 to 16 seats, congress will get 8 to 10 seats and JDS will get 4 to 6 seats.

eddi said...

Slightly confused by Haryana result -- the total seats are 10 buy shown here are totalling only 9 -- can you pls rectify the typo... Thanks

Anonymous said...

Wont agree with your predications ... I see BJP emerging as the largest party ...And in states like Mhstra it will get sizeable numbers of seat ... much more than 10 that you have predicted

Arvind Katoch said...

Thanks eddi, I have rectified the error.
I also agree with numbers of people that BJP has seen slight gain in recent times and there are good chances that BJP can emerge as biggest political party of India.

Anonymous said...

I am from Maharastra ,my Analysis said that, Before Election Campaing start Congress looking to be emerge as Strongest Party ,But Now Congress lossing Ground very sharply ,Now Their is big Chance for BJP to be emerge as largest party in India .

Anonymous said...

Prediction latest - as on 14th April'09 - just before first phase of elections

UP BJP+ 12, CONG 8, SP+ 20, BSP 40
MAHARASHTRA BJP+ 28, CONG+20
WB BJP 1, CONG+ 17, LEFT 24
AP BJP 2,CONG 12, TDP+ 25, PRP 3
BIHAR BJP+ 27, CONG 0, RJD+ 13
TN BJP 0, CONG+ 12, AIADMK+ 27
MP BJP 19, CONG 10
KARNATAKA BJP 16, CONG 8, JDS 4
GUJARAT BJP 20, CONG 6
RAJASTHAN BJP 12, CONG 13
ORISSA BJP 3, CONG 7, BJD 11
KERALA BJP 0, CONG+ 15, LEFT 5
JHARKHAND BJP+ 9, CONG 3
ASSAM BJP+ 9, CONG 5
PUNJAB BJP+ 9, CONG 4
CHATTISGARH BJP 9, CONG 2
HARYANA BJP+ 5, CONG 4, OTHERS 1
DELHI BJP 2, CONG 5
J&K BJP 1, CONG+ 4, OTHERS 1
UTTRANCHAL BJP 4, CONG 1
HP BJP 4, CONG 0
GOA BJP 1, CONG 1
OTHERS BJP+ 5, CONG 9, OTHERS 3

TOTAL
BJP+ 197
CONG+ 161
BSP 40
SP+RJD+LJP 33
OTHERS 111(LEFT+TDP+PRP+AIADMK+BJD+JDS etc)

Anand Kumar said...

I think most of the media is working for UPA.Some channels specially IBN7,Star News, Aaj Tak are appearing mouth piece of Congress. What is the reason behind promoting 'Bhahan-Bhai' Priyanka and Rahul ? All the dangerous speeches are made be NDA. And some are made by third front which is not part of UPA now a days. Congress is the party who is responsible for Caste based politics.Caste based politics is like atom bomb and Reiligion based politics is a simple bomb. If u talk about in fovor of Muslims, Christians then u r a secular and if u do it for Hindus then see Varun Gandhi.Well, people have own discretion, they only watch TV and ridicule them. Channels pls stop imposing your theory else u will not be prioritorised.Just deliever news from all sections.

Anonymous said...

i am from kerala ,i thimk here this time its goin to be
udf 10
ldf 10
though congress had chance first ,candidate selection of udf completely changed the condition ,i think candidates of udf are not better as ldf.

Anonymous said...

In Karnataka, BJP is going to get 22+ seats this time. Congress 2+ and JDS 1+

Anonymous said...

i agree with anand kumar, most of the news channels are biased towards the UPA. probably the UPA is offering something in return. this is not fair. everybody knows that if a BJP leader talks in favour of hindutva that is treated as religious. but the UPA talks against hindutva that is acceptable. people knows the parties under UPA belonging to other religion attack hindus but not a single fingure is pointed at them. that is because they are under the safe umbrella called the UPA.

Biju Kombodi said...

I am from Kerala. After the selection of candidates, there is a new picture here. There is a silent wave for LDF through out kerala. May be 12-16 seats for LDF this time.

Anonymous said...

Kerala is the only state which achived 100% litrecy rate in India. Just I wonder as an outsider how can they vote for congress & left parties?? Becoz kerala is full of Chritians & Muslims so traditionally they don't vote to BJP, is that giving chance to congress & left??

Left is ruling West Bengal over 30yrs now, for any democratic government thats not a small period - still look at the condition of development in WB. This is a clear example that Left is failed miserably in developing the state in all fronts. I wonder what they expect by voting to Left parties????

Congress is no different either - it ruled India over 50yrs, still progress is grim, poverty is all over & fully corrupt too.

I really admire the development done by regional parties in TN and by BJP in Gujatat.

Guys just think more than our own religion!!!!

Anonymous said...

i really NDA has a great chance of comming to power as UPA is losing ground ,take an example of Bihar ,In Bihar RJD will be losing lots of seats as Nitish Kumar JD(u) has done a commendable job in 1-2 years what Lalu could not do it in 15 years.

sandric said...

i think your calculations are little bit incorrect in some states and i think this time NDA is going to come to power but for the PM i doubt.

Anonymous said...

I think BJP may win overall

Anonymous said...

I am from Maharashtra and my predictions are Cong - NCP 32,
SS-BJP 14 and Others - 2

Anonymous said...

hi
i live in bangalore. i hope this time congress will do much better as they have fielded all strong candidates. There is an anti-incumbancy factor for BJP.Very much corruption, Mines mafia are ruling the state.I feel UPA will come into power again.
Rahul should become PM, i think he can bring some change may be like OBAMA. This country badly needs a youth leader who atleast can do something better.
Lets bring the change

kailash sharma said...

I believe that till yet god did not excuse bjp walas, because these peoples are not doing as well as country need. They are continue their un necessary mis firing on congress and sonia gandhi both. Another side they using bad words for Respect Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan singh ji. In fact it is not nice. So all right way thinking persons will not caste this time vote to bjp and in such bjp will come more down. I believe as a whole it is impossible for bjp to cross even 100 seats.. because this time bjp is in lose mod. In rajasthan bjp hardly can cross double figer.. means impossible to reach 10 or more. In MP and Chattishgarh bjp will not get expected seats. In karnataka bjp have big hope but they will not score as big as they need. In Maharashtra also bjp will not reach in double figure means cant reach till 10. In gujarat they will get less seats then last parliament election. So In my opinion and as per true analysis of voters feelings bjp getting what they sown. I here not say that congress can cross 200 seats, for congress rajasthan will be biggest gaining state. but in another state congress can find mixed trend. In MP chattisgarh this time congress will be in better position, same will be in karnataka and even in gujarat too. so I think congress will be single largest party on 16th may 2009.

Jagatheesan said...

BSP will win in 272 seats, Third front 100 seats, Congress 90 BJP 70 others 11

Anonymous said...

i want aishwaraya Rai to be the next PM .. will be nice to see she representing india abroad.. Barack Obama,kevin rudd etc will spend all the money in india ..

Anonymous said...

i think all india trinamool congress will get 221 and congress will get 76 .......they will get the mejority....mamta banerjee will next pm

Sachin said...

Manifesto released by Sanjeev Naik.

Vashi: Dr. Sanjeev Naik, the nominee of NCP-Congress-RPI (Athavale) alliance for the Lok sabha election, has released his party’s election manifesto, CIDCO Director and DCC President Namdeo Bhagat, MLC Manda Mhatre, NCP Navi Mumbai district president Gopinath Thakur, RPI (A) District President Sidram Ohol, Mayor Anjani Bhoir, Dy Mayor Shashikant Birajdar, opposition leader Ramakant Mhatre, Corporator Vitthal More, were present on the occasion.
Here are the few highlights of the manifesto
For NAVI MUMBAI
• Get maximum possible Funds Sanctioned from Center & MMRDA through JNNURM, for Economic upliftment of the Constituency’s Poor people, and projects like Palm Beach Flyover & other Facilities.
• Enhancing the status of Navi Mumbai Railway Stations at par with International standards & by Public Demand, have 12 Coach Trains started………………….


http://navimumbai-sanjeevjinaik.blogspot.com/2009/04/manifesto-released-by-sanjeev-naik.htmlhttp://navimumbai-naiksanjeev.blogspot.comhttp://www.sanjeevgnaik.com

Anonymous said...

I am gujarati, and I can say NDA (Sir N Modi) will win 22 seats out of 26. And anyone want to know why just visit "www.jitegagujarat.com.

In Gujarat, Jan 12 and 13th in Vibrant Gujarat programme arranged by Sir Modi,$220bn investment MOU signed in 2 days by investior from all over the world, possibility to creat 25 lakhs job in this recession time, its just another great achivement by Sir N Modi.

In my opnion BJP will win election 2009.

ashish said...

as i am from maharashtra i will tell that in vidarbha BJP+8 Cong+2
Marathwada BJP+6 Cong+2
North Maharashta cong+3 BJP+3
W.Maharastra Cong+8 BJP+4
Konkan Cong+1 BJP+1
Mumbai+thane Cong+4 BJP+6

Maharashtra Cong+20seats BJP+28

jit said...

hi i m frm west bengal..
i think that dis time NDA will sure come into the goverment. In our state everybody think that TMC is with CONG but after the result declare am sure mamata will join with NDA. My prediction 4 west bengal is as follows:
TMC= 18
CONG= 4
LF= 19
BJP= 1 (Darjelling)

Anonymous said...

Your poll prediction for A.P is going to be wrong. BJP is guaranteed to win the secuderabad MP seat. Congress will not get more than 15 seats in A.P. Chances of NDA forming the government are higher than UPA.

Anonymous said...

I m frm Punjab and i want to say that in Punjab my prediction is as follows:
TOTAL 10
CONG 6
BJP 2
AKALI DAL 4
LJP 1
U may check it after poll results.

JAMIE SIDHU

Jamie Sidhu said...

I m frm Punjab and as far as LS'09 prediction for Punjab is concerned i think it is going to be:
TOTAL
CONG 6
AKALI DAL 4
BJP 2
LBP 1

Stephen said...

Should won UPA, for the developement of India the best Govt. is/will is UPA. it ccould give pease, safe and security for the all population of India.

UPA in present - 235
BJP - 170
3rd front - 85
others - 53

Anonymous said...

My state wise proj. is as followds.
UP BJP+ 25, CONG 4, SP+ 25, BSP 26
MAHARASHTRA BJP+ 26, CONG+22
WB BJP 1, CONG+ 17, LEFT 24
AP BJP 4,CONG 16, TDP+ 19, OTHERS 3
BIHAR BJP+ 26, CONG 1, RJD+ 13
TN BJP 0, CONG+ 12, AIADMK+ 27
MP BJP 25, CONG 4
KARNATAKA BJP 21, CONG 4, JDS 3
GUJARAT BJP 20, CONG 6
RAJASTHAN BJP 16, CONG 9
ORISSA BJP 3, CONG 12, BJD 6
KERALA BJP 0, CONG+ 12, LEFT 8
JHARKHAND BJP+ 6, CONG 3, OTHERS 5
ASSAM BJP+ 7, CONG 7
PUNJAB BJP+ 9, CONG 4
CHATTISGARH BJP 10, CONG 1
HARYANA BJP+ 5, CONG 4, OTHERS 1
DELHI BJP 5, CONG 2
J&K BJP 1, CONG+ 4, OTHERS 1
UTTRANCHAL BJP 4, CONG 1
HP BJP 4, CONG 0
GOA BJP 1, CONG 1
OTHERS BJP+ 5, CONG 9, OTHERS 3
TOTAL BJP+ 224, CONG+ 155, OTHERS 164

Anonymous said...

to the person who said Left failed to develop Bengal:

Here are some facts

1) After left came to power and did land reforms coupled with Decentralized planning, WB transformed from the lowest growing agricultural state in the 1970s to the highest growing agricultural state in india in the 1980s (Look at any productivity data of NSSo, or World bank, you will find out).

2) Between 1978 and 1994 Poverty in West bengal came down fro m 60% (percentage below poverty line) to 27.7%, FASTEST RATE OF POVERTY REDUCTION IN WHOLE OF INDIA--see World Bank report 2000 on "India: Policies to reduce poverty!"-- available on the net.

3) for the whole of 1990s and most of the post 2000 period growth rate of WB is above national average.

4) Basic social indicators in Wb are much better than states like gujarat and maharashtra, especially rural IMR, Sex ratio and undernourishment.

Anonymous said...

i am from himachal and my prediction after analysing is congress 3 bjp1 virbhadra singh wii win by more than one lakh votes from mandi seat , shandil will win by more than seventy thousand votes from shimla seat, chander kumar will win by the margin of around 40000 to 50000 votes drom kangra , from hamirpur seat anurag thakur of bjp may win narrowly. i can bet on my predictions because i know the power of masses and ground realities of my state more than those tvwallas.

Anonymous said...

my prediction for loksabha seats from Karntaka
JD(S) 5
Congress 11
BJP 12

sampreeth said...

i am from karnataka it is sure that the B.J.P. losing its ground in our state but congress is not in position to capitalize it and JD(S) sure will not get more than 2 seats,more than 3 is impossible,there is also chances of both devegowda and is son also may loose due in both there seats voting cross more than 70% it gave chances for BJP,congress may win 5 seats and intelligent youths vote for ADVANI not for any other,so BJP may win all northern karanataka seats and runner up in the southern seats and in centre is allmost a clean sweep,so seat tally like this BJP-22..INC-5/4...JD(S)1/2.but bjp lossins its credblity

shankhajyoti said...

I am from Assam. My prediction is that BJP+AGP combination will get more than 09 seats.Congress will get only 02(-7).AUDF-01. BPF-01. This time the two major vote bank, (the minority muslim and the graden voter) of congress , are not with the party. A part of minority voter moves to AUDF. 30% 0f garden voter moves toward BJP.

Anonymous said...

Hi,

Your prediction about Kerala is not correct. My opinion this time also LDF gain major seats.

Anonymous said...

I am from Tamilnadu. Your projection need to be corrected because Congress is doing very bad in TN and will yield very low or nil while DMK may get 2-7 seats as they r supporting Congress. In Srilankan Tamil issue Congress and DMK has played the card wrongly and people will revert them back to out of court. This is my presumption.

aaccording said...

Have a Smooth Ride- Go on the Thane- Belapur Road Says Ganesh Naik.
While the concretization work at Thane Belapur Road might have brought nightmares to the commuters for the last two years, with the work coming to a closure, everyone is praising NMMC for the smooth drive on the concretized roads. The Thane Belapur Road – has been commuters’ worst nightmares for decades but looks like the nightmare is finally coming to a closure with the closure of the concretization work of the road. The concretization project that was promoted by
Thane Guardian Minister Ganesh Naik and pushed by first Mayor Dr. Sanjeev Naik at the NMMC level.
As the work of concretization is coming to an end, the opinion of the masses, as media surveyed would be music to the ears of the ruling front at NMMC . When media spoke to every segment of commuters and tax paying citizens in Navi Mumbai and Thane, the unanimous opinion is that the drive to and fro from this stretch especially for Navi Mumbaikars and Thaneites was never this smooth, no traffic congestion and time saving.

THE LITTLE MAMMA BOY said...

hello
u know am P M in waiting as Mr L K Advani .
But i can only suggest that Once again Dr Man Mohan Singh is the Prime minister under the guidence of MAM Sonia Gandhi .
So i thing its UPA or Hung Parl
No NDA becoz NDA means "NOT DOING ANYTHING IN 5 YEARS"

SUNISH only for comments

Cast ur Vote , save the nation from unwanted criminals as MP

Vote to National Parties only

Anonymous said...

Hi
am a B Tech student from kerala
it seems this time here the result will be :
ldf 13-14
udf 5-6
ncp 0-1

Anonymous said...

For me,,,,it is best i think,,,,
both the congress and BJP have go good leader with pure vision on the development of nation..and also there is no doubt regarding the work they had done, which is daring for upliftment for the poor people.
CURRUPTION;;;0% ON BOTH LEADER ONLY......
...Both party leader dedicated their lifes for the nations and for the development..though there is numberless drawback or demerits on both leaders.Its,may be due to the course of time on politics scenario but,it may be for the good of the nation also""""because how i can say this is jus both the party have no utter interest on erning money for themselves and still i didn't came to know that any of this great 2 leader from CPI & BJP..

tanveermails said...

all i want to say is that "cast your vote , don't vote your caste "

Anonymous said...

In central only congress can effectively run the govt and got its full majority with its allies. during BJP period the pub sector enterprised are forced to amke loss anr theri shares are comedowninh the market now all pub sectors get back and earn more profit by competing withe private sectors. like wise in tamil nadu jaya do all mischieves in govt and put everybody in jail those who tell anything against her she never respect the co politicians and do unfavour to all govt employees not considering any basic development for tamilnadu especially in electrictiy.She never respect the others.in these circumstances everybody from north drying about the tamilelem is the amin factor working in the election. it is totally fault the present dmk aliies got stern majority in tamilandu and the mps from tamilnadu willbe key factor for making the central govt. tamil people never allow central govt to hang

Anonymous said...

In central only congress can effectively run the govt and got its full majority with its allies. during BJP period the pub sector enterprised are forced to amke loss anr theri shares are comedowninh the market now all pub sectors get back and earn more profit by competing withe private sectors. like wise in tamil nadu jaya do all mischieves in govt and put everybody in jail those who tell anything against her she never respect the co politicians and do unfavour to all govt employees not considering any basic development for tamilnadu especially in electrictiy.She never respect the others.in these circumstances everybody from north drying about the tamilelem is the amin factor working in the election. it is totally fault the present dmk aliies got stern majority in tamilandu and the mps from tamilnadu willbe key factor for making the central govt. tamil people never allow central govt to hang

Anonymous said...

Hi,
according to most of the blogs on different websites following can be number of seats on direct BJP - congress states.
Maharashtra - 28 - BJP+
20 - Cong +
Gujarat - 20 BJP
6 Cong
Rajasthan - BJP - 11
Cong - 14
Delhi - BJP - 1
Cong -6
Haryana - 6 - BJP +
4 - Cong
Himachal - 3 - BJP
1 - Cong
Uttarakhand - 3 - BJP
2 - Cong
Punjab - 8 - BJP+
5 - Cong
Madhya Pradesh - 21 - BJP
8 - Cong
Chattisgarh - 9 - BJP
2 - Cong
Karnataka - 18 - BJP
10 - Cong + JDS
Assam - BJP+ - 10
Cong - 4

Total(Head on BJP Vs. Cong) BJP - 138, Cong - 82
Other then these Cong has - Andhra(18) + kerala(10) + TN(12) + WB (18)
= 58 + 82= 140
Mamta banerjee might change sides to NDA.
Here states like Orissa, Bihar, Jharkhand, UP, North eastern states are not considered as there is no BJP Vs. head on fight.

This finally shows that Third front will not form government. Either BJP or Cong will form government. And in BJP Vs. Congress, BJP is better placed(BJP 138, Cong 82). But Congress gets benift of Pan India presence which BJP lacks.
Therefore states like Andhra, WB and TN are make break states for Congress not UP + Bihar where congress will get not more then 12 seats and BJP will get not more then 24-25 seats out of 120.

AMITAVA SEN GUPTA said...

Hi,

I am from West Bengal. It is first in my lifetime I am seeing a strong opposition in Bengal. Otherwise it was always a cakewalk for the Left. My prediction here would be

TMC 16-18
Congress 8
Left 15-17
BJP 1

Anonymous said...

Hello,
It seems that in Tamilnadu all the fourty seats may won by Jayalalitha lead AIADMK. The DMK & CONGRESS had spoiled their status by themselves .Jayalalitha's compaign worked out very good for that alliance. People of Tamilnadu are against the family politics of Karunanidhi.
RAVINDRAN OOTY

Anonymous said...

Hi,
The predictions are not correct.Congress will be loosing this time.However BJP also will not sweep the polls.
My predictions are:
NDA:182.
UPA:181(this includes the so called forth front).
Third front:180.
Tamil nadu predictions:AIADMK and allies:30. DMK&allies:10

Anonymous said...

I'm from Tamil nadu,
Here the surveys are saying that AIADMK alliance having a chance of winning 32+ seats and DMK alliance(Congress) have no chance of getting majority seats in Tamil nadu, and after election it may support BJP to form Government, as AIADMK head Miss.J.Jayalalitha announced in her Interviews. Her Campaign is getting stronger and stronger day by day.

BJP likely to form the government in 2009

jithu.p. said...

hi..
i think u got ur predictions for kerala entirely wrong...cong is a position to get somewere btw 12-15 seats there and itzz allies-3...so total it will be like 15-18 for upa frm krla....cpm lead left front govt is an entire failure ..u can ask any neutral keralite for this...cpi,jd(S) are not wid cpm candidates and viceversa..also cpm havin many rebels in their strong holds...u have also not given any seat to cong allies(whose seats r damn sure..namely kottayam,ponnani,malappuram)

anonymous said...

Your prediction for tamilnadu is entirely wrong.Its going to be a reverse of the last parliment poll. Srilankan tamil issue is going to be the key and owing to that the congress will not even get a single seat. Its going to be a clean sweep to the AIADMK lead group and DMK is going to suffer a heavy damage in this poll even losing its fort chennai(3seats).The DMK congress group may get around 2 or 3

Anonymous said...

I doubt whether BJP will show a good number in Karnataka. They lost their image immediately after coming to power. But still the fight remains between JD(S) and BJP

Anonymous said...

If Jayalalitha Wins 10 seats and supports the government in Centre, that Govt will definitely fall in a very short period. So let her support NDA post election!
TN people did feel bad about DMK & Cong on the handling of Srilankan issue but once Jayalalitha said she will form Tamil Eelam if she was voted, every one understood it was a big Joke. The initial Josh of her campaign came down after her seperate Eelam formation announcement. Dont be surprised if DMK gains more seat becos of Jaylalitha's Tamil Eelam Formation announcement.

mohan chitale said...

my prediction is LET ANY BODY FORM THE GOVT IN CENTRE CONGRESS IS NOT GOING TO CROS THREE FIGURE MARK ie

< 100 seats so pityful is it not here i am talking of CONGRESS as single party not UPA

Anonymous said...

upa or nda both are going to loot the country .swiss banks will be richer .that is all

Anonymous said...

anandakumar says media are wrong.correct ,orissa killings,gujarat killings are not shown by media.anankumar you are correct.Advani is pakistani,Sonia is italian we voters are indians

Anonymous said...

Jayalalitha has unleashed a negative campaign against Chidambaram, Cong and DMK. Last night there was a power cut in many parts of Chennai which people see as a nefarious act of opposition against the ruling DMK. Chidambaram Son's Car was attacked by AIADMK ( Jaya's) party, this only shows the desperateness in Jayalalitha's camp. Tamilnadu is always against BJP, so Cong I should gain on this Election day lets see....

Anonymous said...

Hi,

My predictions of lok sabha elections are as follows:
NDA : 182
UPA : 181
Third front: 180
In tamil nadu,the results will be as follows:
ADMK&allies:30
DM&K allies:10

Anonymous said...

In haryana, Congress is going to win atlease 8 seats out of 10. Best of luck congress..I think BJP can only win in faridabad and one other seat..

Anonymous said...

Hi,

IN TN Jayalalitha will sweep all the seats 40/40. Due to Srilankan Tamil issue.

patil gunavant said...

My prediction for 2009 Loksabha Election
• ANDRA PADESH Cong – 20 BJP – 2 TDP – 14 TRS – 4 PRJ – 2 Total - 42
• ASSAM Cong – 3 BJP - 5 AJP – 4 Others – 2 Total – 14
• ARUNACHAL PRAD Cong – BJP - 2 Others – 2 Total –4
• ADAMAN NICOBAR Cong – 1 BJP - Others – Total – 1
• BIHAR Cong – BJP - 10 RJD – 9 JDU – 18 LJP - 3 Others – Total – 40
• CHADIGARH Cong – 1 BJP - Others – Total – 1
• CHHATTISGARH Cong – 2 BJP - 8 Others – 1 Total – 11
• DN HAVELI Cong – 1 BJP - Others – Total – 1
• DELHI Cong – 4 BJP - 3 Others – Total – 7 GOA Cong – BJP - 2 Others – Total – 2
• GUJARAT Cong – 6 BJP - 20 Others – Total – 26
• HARYANA Cong – 3 BJP - 3 INL – 4 Total – 10
• HIMACHAL PRADESH Cong – 1 BJP - 3 Others – Total – 4
• JAMMU & KASHMIR Cong – 1 BJP - 1 NC – 3 PDP - 1 Total – 6
• JHARKHAND Cong – 4 BJP - 8 JMM – 2 Total – 14
• KARNATAKA Cong – 6 BJP - 19 JDS – 3 Total – 28
• KERALA Cong – 8 BJP - CPML – 12 Total – 20
• LAKSHADWEEP Cong – 1 BJP - Others – Total – 1
• MADYA PRADESH Cong – 5 BJP - 24 Others – Total – 29
• MAHARASTRA Cong – 10 BJP - 14 NCP – 10 SS – 13 Others - 1 Total – 48
• MANIPUR Cong – 2 BJP - Others - Total – 2
• MEGHALAYA Cong – 1 BJP - 1 Others - Total – 2
• MIZORAM Cong – 1 BJP - Others - Total – 1
• NAGALAND Cong – BJP - NPF - 1 Total – 1
• ORISSA Cong – 6 BJP - 5 BJD - 9 Others - 1 Total – 21
• PONDICHERRY Cong – 1 Total – 1 PUNJAB Cong – 3 BJP - 4 AKDP - 6 Total – 13 RAJASTHAN Cong – 10 BJP - 14 Others - 1 Total – 25
• TAMIL NADU Cong – 6 BJP - 2 DMK – 10 AIDMK – 14 PMK – 4 MDMK - 3 Total – 39
• UTTARRANCHAL Cong – 1 BJP - 4 Others - Total – 5
• UTTAR PRADESH Cong – 10 BJP - 16 BSP – 28 SP - 26 Total – 80
• WEST BENGAL Cong – 11 BJP - TC – 8 CPM - 23 Total – 42
• NDA - 210 TO 215 SEATS
• UPA - 195 TO 200 SEATS
• THIRD FRONT - 75 TO 80 SEATS
• OTHERS - 65 TO 70 SEATS

Anonymous said...

2009 Election Results prediction

Overall a hung govt

in that

BJP will Single largest party

possible for BJP form govt, if sone cong allies support BJP

hotnamitha said...

http://sify.com/news/election/loksabha_2009_results?vsv=smm

Check out Live Results Online Latest Lok Sabha Elections Results 2009

Lok Sabha Elections results 2009, Watch Live Videos Counting Votes, Andhra Pradesh Election Results, Assam Election Results,

Bihar Election Results, Goa Election Results, Gujarat Election Results, Haryana Election Results, Himachal Pradesh Election

Results, Jammu Kashmir Election Results, Jharkhand Election Results, Tamil Nadu Election Results and more results Only On

http://sify.com/news/election?vsv=smm

vincent said...

tn - (dmk - other)- 25 ,(admk- other)- 15

Anonymous said...

Great information! I’ve been looking for something like this for a while now. Thanks!

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